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Fantasy Baseball Fix : 2011 Dan Haren Projections


If you missed the previous entries of the Fantasy Fix click below.

Were down to the top 2, and  like the two Angels that proceed them ( Hunter, Wells) Haren and Weaver are virtually interchangeable.  These Halo Aces are likely to put up similar numbers this season. Dan Haren enters his first full season with the Angels looking to continue the second half success he saw once acquired from Arizona. In his 14 starts as a Halo Haren compiled a 2.87 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, .237 BAA to go along with 5 wins.

The Angels are hopeful they see that type of production from their number 2 starter this season. Let’s take a look at what fantasy owners can expect.

 Like his acquisition has been in real life you get the feeling Dan Haren is being undervalued in Fantasy Baseball sectors. In Yahoo for instance Haren  is the 99th ranked player, good for about the 21st best pitcher. At a glance that might seem accurate , but Haren has the potential to be much better than that. The one aspect that will likely determine whether Haren remains truly elite in fantasy circles is his strike out rate. Haren appeared to pitch more to contact than ever before last year, yet his K/9 only dropped to 8.27 ( from his career best 8.75 in 2009). In other words Harenstill posses the knockout punch and should still provide owners with stellar strikeout numbers in 2011. Harens move and subsequent success in SOcal seemed to prove that his first halfdisappointment with the D Backs a 4.60 ERA an unceremoniously high .285  BAA was merely an aberration and not the real Dan Haren. He will look to continue that trend in 2011.

The Hangout View: I’m going out on the limb and predicting that Haren Wins more games this year than he has in his career (16 is his current high). Provided the Angels bullpen solidifies itself ,it is likely that Haren wins between 18 -20 games , when you combine that with the strong ERA, K , and WHIP totals Haren’s is equally as likely to produce, you have an elite starter. Haren’s fantasy value matches his real life persona. He should be drafted as an excellent #2 starter with the potential to perform like an #1 on most days. If owners are shut out on some of the top 10 starting pitchers Haren should fill in nicely as the de facto staff ace. Owners should expect the following totals:

  • 19 wins , 3.12 ERA , 1.20 WHIP , 209 strikeouts , 215 Innings Pitched

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