Mandatory Credit: Jake Roth-US PRESSWIRE

Let’s Go Prospecting: Jean Segura


I have no problem shilling for a good friend, or even a complete stranger, as long as I’m promised a sandwich. In this case, I’m happy to do it though. Bleacher Report recently hired Mike Rosenbaum to be their lead prospect writer and he released his Top 50 List on Monday. While it’s a little late in the game, you should go read it because Mike is going to be a star and you should get to know him.

Mike, like the rest of the planet, had Matt Moore, Bryce Harper and Mike Trout in his top three. Personally, I’d have Trout and Harper over Moore but it’s not worth the debate. All three are going to be amazing. Jean Segura didn’t make his top 50 so I asked him to send me his scouting report on the Halos’ second best positional prospect…

“Had Jean Segura not been plagued by injuries off-and-on since 2008, he might already be in the Major Leagues.

The No. 2 prospect in the Angels’ system behind Mike Trout, and the No. 67 prospect in all of baseball, Segura is an undersized (5’11″, 185 lbs.) middle infielder with exciting tools. Thanks to his raw bat speed and compact swing, he will surprise people with the amount of pop in his bat. His quick wrists allow him to sit on offspeed offerings, and he’s become increasingly comfortable hitting to all fields.

By the time he settles in at the Major League level, the right-handed hitter could flirt with a .300 batting average, as well as 10-15 home runs. With healthy legs, Segura has the potential to be a stolen base threat, and should leg out many more extra-base hits. Although he’s always had a high contact rate, Segura could better utilize his speed by drawing more walks—something that he’s done at an eight percent clip in his best seasons.

With enough range to play both middle infield positions for the time being, it’s Segura’s plus arm that makes him more attractive as a shortstop. He plays both positions aggressively and has good instincts on the field

He had a brief but impressive stint at Triple-A in 2009, but has spent the last two seasons bouncing between the Angels’ Rookie and Class-A affiliates. He would have reached Double-A in 2011 if not for the hamstring injury, so it’s a logical destination for him to begin the 2012 season.”

Kevin Goldstein also has Segura at 67 and Keith Law has him at 44. The “health skill” is most likely the reason for the disparity in the rankings. Not that there is a wide gap from being a top 70 or top 50 prospect.

As I mentioned earlier, Segura will start the season at Double-A. If it goes well, GM Jerry Dipoto won’t have to get into a bidding war for incumbent short stop Erick Aybar when he hits the free agent market after the 2012 season.

Expect plenty of Segura updates throughout the season. I’m a big fan.

Hey Mike, when is that sandwich coming my way?

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Tags: Jean Segura Mike Rosenbaum Prospects

  • SaxonBaird

    While Segura has significant upside, I think he still needs to prove himself at higher levels. The pitcher-friendly confines of the Texas League will be a good challenge for Segura. Let’s hope he can stay healthy.
     
    I would disagree with DiPoto not having to get into a bidding war with Aybar if Segura has a good season, though. Aybar is one of the better defensive shortstops in the league and has a bat to boot. Right now, he is the proven talent and Segura is not major league ready. Additionally, if DiPoto has shown anything in his first off-season with the Halos, is his concern with depth. Why not try to keep both at this point? Especially with Izturis contract up next year (who most likely will not get re-signed…injuries, entering his 30s, Amarista nipping at his heels)a nd Collapso’s up the year after that.
    If Segura stays consistent and healthy there will be room for him.

  • mjlloyd

    I think Aybar is overrated defensively. If he has a good season at the plate, he’s likely getting overpaid in the offseason. I wouldn’t give him more than Kendrick.

  • SaxonBaird

     @mjlloyd You think he’s overrated defensively? Any stats or analysis to support that? I am all ears but everything I’ve read, and the gold piece that currently sits on his mantle, says he’s a solid defensive shortstop. Not to mention he’s been in the Top 5 for Fielding percentage 2 out of the last 3 years. 
     
    But okay, lets say hes overrated defensively. He still has put up a significant +WAR over the last 4 years and proved he can swipe 25-30 bases a season. He’s 28, so at the peak of his career. Why not sign him for another 4-5. You are going to roll the dice on a AA player to replace him in a farm system that is already pretty thin?
     
    I think not.

  • mjlloyd

     @SaxonBaird UZR/150 and Total Zone both have him as pretty much a replacement level defender over the course of his career. He’s had one season with an OBP over .325. I said before the season I try a 4/30 or 4/35 extension but he’ll get more than that in free agency.
     
    Most projection systems have him as a regression candidate too.