Halo Hangout » fans http://halohangout.com A Los Angeles Angels Fan Site - News, Blogs, Opinion and More Wed, 16 May 2012 23:10:04 +0000 en hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 The Fans Predict Our Playoff Chances http://halohangout.com/2010/03/10/the-fans-predict-our-playoff-chances/ http://halohangout.com/2010/03/10/the-fans-predict-our-playoff-chances/#comments Wed, 10 Mar 2010 15:06:03 +0000 Nate Proctor http://halohangout.com/?p=60 There was a fascinating write up over on FanGraphs yesterday that took the predictions fan voters made on how teams would do for the season and, using a pretty complex simulation, calculated the chances of each team winning their division, winning the Wild Card, and winning the playoffs. As mentioned, the simulation is fairly complex, and instead of trying to explain it and just making myself look silly I’ll let FanGraphs handle that for me.

Sadly, the news for the AL West as a whole was pretty mixed, and for the Angels it was mostly bad. While the Yankees have literally double the chances of winning the playoffs according to this sim than the top team in the AL West (80%-40%), the Rangers and not the Angels are the team in that top stop in the AL West. Admittedly, this surprised me as I would’ve assumed the Mariners would’ve held that top spot, but apparently the fans disagree with me. In fact, the Angels ended up last in the division in this, with only a 16% chance of winning the AL West. Yikes. It gets even worse when looking at the Wild Card, where they’re given only a 1% chance of winning it, verses 27%, 31%, and 28% for the Yankees, Red Sox, and Rays respectively.

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