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LA Angels: How lost 2020 season could impact Trout, Pujols milestones

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CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - JUNE 03: Mike Trout #27 of the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim and Albert Pujols #5 of the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim observe the national anthem before the game against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on June 03, 2019 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Quinn Harris/Getty Images)
CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - JUNE 03: Mike Trout #27 of the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim and Albert Pujols #5 of the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim observe the national anthem before the game against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on June 03, 2019 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Quinn Harris/Getty Images)
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LA Angels
OAKLAND, CA – SEPTEMBER 3: Albert Pujols #5 of the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim hits a home run during the game against the Oakland Athletics at the Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum on September 3, 2019 in Oakland, California. The Athletics defeated the Angels 7-5. (Photo by Michael Zagaris/Oakland Athletics/Getty Images)

Albert Pujols chase for 700 HR

Probability with 2020 season: 22%

Probability, no 2020 season: 5%

Albert Pujols has hit 656 career home runs, 211 of which came with the Angels over the past eight seasons. At 40-years-old, the days of him hitting 40 home runs each season are long gone, but he has maintained an ability to connect on 20+ long balls over the past several seasons. He needs 44 more home runs over the next two years, before his contract runs up, to reach the magical 700 number, a total that only three players have reached in baseball history (Barry Bonds, Hank Aaron, and Babe Ruth).

If no 2020 season is played, it seems impossible to believe Pujols would reach 700 home runs during the final year of his contract in Anaheim. But even if he signed a one-year deal to play DH somewhere and continue his chase of history, at that point, he would be 43-years-old. Remember, Szymborki’s probabilities consider a player, like Pujols, extending their career an extra season to reach a major milestone.

The most home runs ever hit by a 43-year-old is 18 by Carlton Fisk in 1991, and other than that, only Carl Yastrzemski has connected on even ten long balls at such an advanced age.

Pujols has amassed over 3,000 hits, his batting average sits at a perfect .300 mark for his career, and his collection of Silver Slugger, Gold Gloves, and MVP awards will make him a first-ballot Hall-of-Famer, whether he hits 700 home runs or not. However, a lost season severely impacts his chances of putting his name next to Babe Ruth in the record books, a feat he surely would like to accomplish.

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