2 reasons why a Yankees Shohei Ohtani trade won't happen, 1 reason why it could
A Shohei Ohtani to the Yankees trade is unlikely, but not an impossibility
The Shohei Ohtani trade rumors are starting to really heat up again. Everytime he was mentioned during the all-star festivities, the media made sure to note that he's a free agent at the end of the year and that the Los Angeles Angels are now under .500. As frustrating as it might be to hear all the time, it's certainly the truth.
The Angels need to turn things around very quickly if they want to justifiably hold onto Ohtani past the deadline. If they continue to fall behind in the standings, trading him becomes the only option.
One team Buster Olney of ESPN believes will be all in on him is the New York Yankees. While I don't think Ohtani to the Yankees is likely, it's not an impossibility either.
A Shohei Ohtani trade to the Yankees won't happen because it feels unlikely he'll stay there long term
The most obvious reason an Ohtani to the Yankees trade won't happen is because the chances of him staying there are slim.
When Ohtani signed with the Angels initially, the Yankees were a team constantly mentioned as one of the favorites for the Japanese phenom.
The Yankees might've been favorites, but they were the first team turned down. He didn't take time to think, he immediately knew he didn't want to go to the east coast. Has that changed? I have no idea. Will the Yankees trade what it takes to get him knowing the risk that he could be gone after two months? It feels unlikely.
There's a good chance the Angels don't trade Ohtani at all, but there's a 100% chance they don't trade him for anything less than what they'd believe to be an overwhelming offer. Taking that kind of a swing just doesn't feel like the present day Yankees.
A Shohei Ohtani trade to the Yankees won't happen because it'd involve doing two things they've refused to do
The New York Yankees are one of the most storied franchises in the history of sports. They have 27 World Series championships, and make the playoffs virtually every year. While that still holds true to this day, they're operated in a different way.
George Steinbrenner doesn't own the team anymore, his son Hal does. While George used to stop at nothing to win right now, Hal isn't the same way. The Yankees don't spend the way they used to, and they don't trade prospects the way they used to.
The Yankees do have a very hefty payroll thanks to an active offseason, but were reluctant to pass the fourth luxury tax threshold. Trading for Ohtani and his $30 million salary would take them well over that mark. In any Ohtani trade, there's almost no chance that the Angels take money back, so the Yankees would have to find some other way to clear money. In other words, it won't happen. Can they change their stance? Certainly. Will they? Who knows!
For years, the Yankees have held onto their prospects for dear life. Anthony Volpe has been as close to untouchable as any prospect in the game, the same goes for Jasson Dominguez. As much as Yankees fans don't want to hear this, an Ohtani trade won't be for their 20th ranked prospect straight up. The package will be a hefty one.
Will the Angels make them give up Volpe? I have no idea. Will they make them forfeit prospects they don't want to trade? Absolutely. The Yankees can wait until the offseason and try to convince him to go out east, but the Angels are the ones holding the cards here. Unless the Yankees are now suddenly ready to go all-in prospects-wise, it won't happen.
A Shohei Ohtani trade to the Yankees could happen because New York has pieces the Angels might want
A Shohei Ohtani trade feels unlikely to happen, but if the Angels ever did consider it, the Yankees might have pieces that the Angels would want in a deal back. Not many contenders have the prospect capital to make a deal like this work.
Anthony Volpe would be the crown jewel here, but I have no idea if he's acquirable. A Zach Neto and Anthony Volpe middle infield for the next decade or more would be very fun to watch.
Other position player prospects like Oswald Peraza, Jasson Dominguez, Spencer Jones, Everson Pereira, and Austin Wells could be of interest. The Yankees also have some intriguing pitching prospects like Drew Thorpe and Will Warren.
The Yankees haven't shown the willingness in recent years to part with the prospect capital it'd take to land a player of Ohtani's caliber, but anything can change. If they did show a willingness to trade some of these prospects, the Angels probably won't hang up right away.